QuantMind 本周市场周报 - 2026年5月15日
本周SPY +0.37%守住$739但IWM -2.57%崩塌,能源XLE +5.65%独领,半导体闪崩MU -8.62%/AMD -7.91%吞没上周AI内存涨幅。质量股FlightToQuality+利率敏感三杀+加密同步Risk-Off,典型晚周期分化tape。
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本周SPY +0.37%守住$739但IWM -2.57%崩塌,能源XLE +5.65%独领,半导体闪崩MU -8.62%/AMD -7.91%吞没上周AI内存涨幅。质量股FlightToQuality+利率敏感三杀+加密同步Risk-Off,典型晚周期分化tape。
AI内存超级周——MU +33.22%、AMD +26.33%财报双双历史级超预期,QQQ +5.42%创年内最强单周;FOMC按兵不动但4票反对(1992年来最多),UAE退出OPEC+引爆能源XLE -5.16%崩盘。
Mag7财报冰火两重天:GOOGL +11.48%(云业务+38% YoY)引爆,META -9.28%(Capex指引$1100-1200亿)暴跌;SPY +1.05%守稳$720,能源XLE +3.06%意外居首,下周5/7 FOMC定调降息节奏。
Aggressive Risk-On: Strait of Hormuz reopens, oil crashes >10%. SPY +4.83% to $710 turns YTD positive. Tech XLK +8.45% leads with TSLA +14.44%, AMD +13.62% (20-year longest streak), MSFT +13.16%. BTC breaks 7-month downtrend to $77K.
霍尔木兹海峡重开!油价暴跌10%+科技大爆发,SPY +4.83%破$710转正YTD。TSLA +14.44%、AMD +13.62%(20年最长13日连涨)、MSFT +13.16%(2015年以来最佳周)。银行财报全线超预期。BTC破$77K七月新高。
Risk-On: Iran ceasefire hopes ignite V-shaped rally. SPY +2.46% snaps six-week losing streak. Tech XLK +3.60% leads, Energy XLE -6.15% collapses. META +7.10%, GOOGL +7.00% surge. NFP +178K blows past expectations.
伊朗停火曙光引爆大反弹!科技XLK +3.60%领涨,能源XLE -6.15%暴跌,SPY +2.46%重返结束六连跌。META +7.10%、GOOGL +7.00%V形反弹。非农+178K超预期。
Triple storm! WTI nears $100 + China trade retaliation + UMich consumer sentiment collapses to 53.3. SPY -3.64% to $634, 6th consecutive down week at 5-month low. Energy XLE surges +8.07%. META -13.22%, MU -16.17% crash. Nasdaq 100 enters correction. Trump Liberation Day tariffs 4/2 is the biggest risk.
三重风暴!WTI逼近$100+中国贸易报复+UMich消费信心崩塌至53.3。SPY -3.64%至$634六连跌创五月新低。能源XLE +8.07%年度最大单周涨幅。META -13.22%、MU -16.17%双重崩溃。纳指100进入修正区域。下周Trump"解放日"关税4/2是2026年最大风险。
FOMC hawkish shock! Inflation forecast raised to 2.7%, Powell refuses to rule out rate hikes. SPY -2.96% to $648, 5th straight down week at 4-month low. Only Energy XLE +2.68% positive. AMD +3.26% surges on Samsung HBM deal. MU blowout earnings but sell-the-news. SEC/CFTC classifies 16 tokens as digital commodities.
FOMC鹰派震撼!通胀预测上调至2.7%,Powell不排除加息。SPY五连跌-2.96%至$648创四月新低,全线暴跌-3%仅能源XLE +2.68%独涨。AMD +3.26%逆袭,MU财报超级大超但买预期卖事实。SEC/CFTC认定16代币为数字商品。