Apr 22, 2026
Aggressive Risk-On: Strait of Hormuz reopens, oil crashes >10%. SPY +4.83% to $710 turns YTD positive. Tech XLK +8.45% leads with TSLA +14.44%, AMD +13.62% (20-year longest streak), MSFT +13.16%. BTC breaks 7-month downtrend to $77K.
Apr 5, 2026
Risk-On: Iran ceasefire hopes ignite V-shaped rally. SPY +2.46% snaps six-week losing streak. Tech XLK +3.60% leads, Energy XLE -6.15% collapses. META +7.10%, GOOGL +7.00% surge. NFP +178K blows past expectations.
Mar 28, 2026
Triple storm! WTI nears $100 + China trade retaliation + UMich consumer sentiment collapses to 53.3. SPY -3.64% to $634, 6th consecutive down week at 5-month low. Energy XLE surges +8.07%. META -13.22%, MU -16.17% crash. Nasdaq 100 enters correction. Trump Liberation Day tariffs 4/2 is the biggest risk.
Mar 22, 2026
FOMC hawkish shock! Inflation forecast raised to 2.7%, Powell refuses to rule out rate hikes. SPY -2.96% to $648, 5th straight down week at 4-month low. Only Energy XLE +2.68% positive. AMD +3.26% surges on Samsung HBM deal. MU blowout earnings but sell-the-news. SEC/CFTC classifies 16 tokens as digital commodities.