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Trump-Xi concluded May 14-15. We score our 45/40/15 scenario call against reality, mark the sector calls that worked and missed, and update the trade matrix for the next 30/90/365 day windows.
Trump visits Beijing May 14-15. Three scenarios (45/40/15), five deep sector dives, master trade matrix, and what to actually do this week.
600K+ unfilled US manufacturing jobs. Reshoring without automation is impossible. The market either dismisses industrial automation as "mature, boring" or overpays for humanoid via Tesla. The real trade is the structural floor: ROK, ABB, ISRG already earning 20%+ operating margins. Full teardown of 10 robotics + automation stocks.
A $50K drone destroying a $2M target. The Iran conflict validated drone-centric warfare economics: unit economics flipped. Market still values KTOS, AVAV by traditional defense models, but legacy primes literally cannot build $50K systems. Full teardown of 10 drone & autonomous systems stocks.
5周前喊"$4,520是入场点"。今天: 9胜1负，平均+7.0%。FNV因估值溢价压缩成唯一输家——前文"持有"评级的预警兑现。但故事的主角变了: 不再是金价，而是矿企的资本回报超级周期 (NEM $60亿回购、AEM被Fitch上调A-)。附: 白银工业需求出现真实裂缝 + 下一程作战图。
Five weeks after the bottom call: 9 of 10 stocks up +7% avg, FNV the only loser as predicted. The new story isn't gold price — it's the capital-return supercycle (NEM's $6B buyback, AEM's A- credit). Plus: silver's hidden demand crack and the trade for the next leg.