May 10, 2026
Six photonics names reported in nine days. All beat. Half sold off anyway. NVDA committed up to $3.2B to GLW; LITE joins the Nasdaq-100 on May 18; NOK raised optical guidance 800bps mid-cycle. The original 8-name framework is now 14 names across 6 tiers: GLW #1 (catalyst), LITE #2 (index inclusion), COHR #3 (highest quality), NOK #4 (structural value). Two whole tiers added: foundry (TSEM) and optical DSP (MRVL/CRDO/ALAB).
Mar 14, 2026
NVIDIA Q4 FY2026 earnings deep dive: $68.1B revenue (+73% YoY), Blackwell supercycle, but at $178 the implied IRR is only 13% — below our 15% hurdle. Wait for $155-165 pullback.
Mar 2, 2026
NVDA beat estimates by $2B and dropped -7.42%. New 15% global tariffs hit. PCE at 2.7%. Risk-Off rotation confirmed with defensives (XLU +2.71%, XLP +2.66%) dominating while tech and financials sold off. Full analysis, sector leaderboard, crypto, global markets, and March 4 tariff execution preview.
Feb 21, 2026
Supreme Court strikes down IEEPA tariffs 6-3, triggering V-shaped recovery. SPY +1.37%, QQQ +1.74% snaps 5-week losing streak. MU +6.79% on HBM demand, AMZN +6.05% on tariff relief. GDP 1.4% miss + Core PCE 3.0% raise stagflation concerns. NVDA earnings Feb 25 is the key event ahead.